I feel that I am very close to having a fantastic signal generating tool.
Providing forecast tools that offer meaningful signals and suitable investment strategies for long term 401K and mutual fund investors with three main goals always in mind: 1. Preservation of Wealth, 2. Maximized Returns, 3. Minimized Trade Frequency.
Saturday, July 24, 2010
Warning - Round Trip!
The other day I recieved a warning from Fidelity warning me about a round trip exchange. A round trip is defined as an exchange in and out of a fund within 30 days. This can result in suspension of exchanging priveledges if done excessively. Therefore, I am adding additional analysis that attempts to filter for volatility. The signal recieved on 6/14/2010 and then the signal to sell on 6/30/2010 resulted in a loss, and then the market corrected significantly. However year-to-date oracole has still outperformed the fund. I am currently sitting on the sidelines until I can improve the oracole strategy. Below is an image of a draft of the tech tool I am creating (green dots represent buy and red dots represent sell signals):
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